Editorial
That Sovereign Wealth Fund
Last Tuesday, the National Executive Council (NEC) approved the substitution of the nation’s existing Excess Crude Account (ECA) with a new National Sovereign Wealth Fund (NSWF).
The new Fund, according to NEC, would be subject to approval by the National Assembly before its take off in few months time.
The birth of the NSWF, which did not come as a surprise to many Nigerians, perhaps, signifies the end of the unending controversies surrounding the application of the ECA.
Explaining the modus operandi and the rationale behind its creation, the minister of finance, Mr Olusegun Aganga, said the the new fund is an embodiment of robust institutional framework and strong fiscal policy for managing excess crude earnings, with the advantage of a stabilization fund structured to boost infrastructure and other developmental needs of the country.
NEC, with the Acting President, Goodluck Jonathan as Chairman, agreed on the need to depart from the vagaries of the past that marred execution of the Excess Crude Account, by ensuring a legal backing for the National Sovereign Wealth Fund. By that, the NSWF would enjoy legitimacy which the ECA, a product of political and economic expediency, was bereft of.
The Council members shared a common cardinal objective for setting up the new fund , that time has come to save for the future, rather than expend all revenue generated in the country.
That was the major shortfall of the Excess Crude Account, leading to its regular depletion, otherwise it was used as revenue complement when oil price ebbed.
If anything, the ECA was more dead than alive on arrival, as it was left to the whims and caprices of corrupt leaders, an oversight responsible for the devisive tendencies between the federal and state governments. In fact, it became a matter for the courts to decide how it should be shared.
ECA’s regular slide from $20.1, billion to $7.8 billion, between 2008 and 2009, was noteworthy and alarming, which informed the warning from World Bank Director and Nigeria’s former finance minister, Dr Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala. She suggested a policy action by the federal government, Central Bank of Nigeria and the Ministry of Finance to arrest the situation.
Still on its unstable nature, the Revenue Mobilization, Allocation and fiscal commission (RMAFC), last year, criticized management of the Excess Crude Account, noting that government was depleting the account when no single dollar accrued from crude sale between August to October, save the much that came from other sources.
Apparently, NEC’s option for the new NWSF is shared by many. But we wish to advise that the primary pitfalls of ECA are still very much around and ready to threaten the existence of the Sovereign Wealth Fund if not well managed.
For instance, certain basic rules that stimulate wealth creation and financial discipline must be kept for the SWF to succeed. They include: flexible and market based exchange rate, curbing fiscal deficit, checking debt increase (domestic borrowing) and transparent bank recapitalisation.
While we share NEC’s policy of saving for the future, therefore, we maintain that these conditions if not adhered to would translate government’s new plan to merely storing an old wine in a new vessel.
Again, we make haste to add that the “Nigerian factor” must not bedevil the operation of the new fund. Rather than create a loophole (despite the legal framework) for corrupt leaders to abuse the fund and challenge aggrieved persons in court, let the status quo remain.
After all, it would amount to a lesser evil if part of the fund is channelled to special projects while the rest is shared among the states.
Indeed, only a workable legal framework, supported by strong political will, can ensure a successful Sovereign Wealth Fund.
But just as we plan for the rainy day, it is our opinion that the federal government, through the SWF, should set aside specific fund to fast-track infrastructural and sectoral development in the states.
We welcome the NSWF, in the belief that if well managed, it would serve as the much needed stabilizing factor in the nation’s sources of revenue generation and savings. In addition, it would save the nation from more borrowing and larger deficit, should our yearly oil revenue assumption in the budget fail.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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