Editorial
Budget 2012 And The Transformation Agenda
The National Assembly of the Federal Republic of Nigeria last week announced the passage of a budget of N4.8trn for the year 2012. Coming only two weeks to the end of the first quarter of the year, the budget raises concerns that need to be addressed.
While it may have been accepted by all that the one that fails to plan may have planned to fail, no one has come up with the fate of the one that consistently makes his plans come out late. But everyone knows that it cannot go without a consequence, a costly one.
It is regrettable that Nigeria has not been able to help herself in the area of late budgeting. It is even more so under an administration that pledges to be transformational. Knowing how the economy revolves around the government and its policies, people in government must endeavour to overcome this snag.
All over the world, governments, organisations and even individuals target the end of year to make plans for the succeeding year. For some serious minded economies like that of the United States of America, their budgets for the next year comes out nearly six months before.
This allows for all the players in the economy to perfect their roles before the time for execution. Consequently, when the time comes, the plan for the year kick-starts with purpose and on target. But coming out late with ones budget is to stand isolated and to miss the competitive bargaining of resources when it mattered.
Being an economy that depends almost wholly on government is bad enough, but to also fail to capture the interest of the private sector and other countries to develop our economy that requires a lot of outside input, is nothing short of shooting one’s self in the foot.
But that is not the only area of concern; the allocation of resources have continued to worry many Nigerians. The development of infrastructure is still very critical in Nigeria. But to allocate only N1.519trn to capital development and to allocate N2.425trn to recurrent expenditure does not portray Nigeria as a country that wants to develop in a hurry.
Again, it appears the authorities want to keep things the way they were or have not found ways of focusing on development rather than heap money on a system that is not producing for Nigeria. In fact, we expected that by now the number of MDAs would have been cut down to reduce the sum spent on administration.
Also worrisome is the relapse to excessive debt that now attracts N559.6bn for debt servicing. Sadly, this sum is higher than N372.5bn that is allocated to statutory transfers.
It is impressive that the National Assembly tried to reduce deficit in the budget, but the raising of the benchmark for crude at the international market to $72 to achieve the goal, also opens another window for fears.
Last year, the benchmark was $75 per barrel and there were fears in some quarters that the budget could blow in Nigeria’s face if pressures at the crude market pushes the price below $80. Pegging it at $72 is still too close to crisis as the volatility of the market remains high.
Although the budget is expected to do well, because a number of the projects it is to service are on-going, the performance rate of the 2011 budget is yet to be ascertained. Similarly why some projects under that budget were not handled even when the country did not lack revenue has not been addressed.
We think it was high time Nigeria took budgeting more seriously if any appreciable improvement is to be recorded in the country. Clearly, both the executive and the legislature can do better to announce budgets in December to allow wider participation in the economy.
Also worrisome is the retention of an ever-bloated administrative machinery. The culture of setting up more agencies to handle issues that specific ministries can take up can only create the avenue for a few people to be serviced with funds that can provide services to all under capital projects.
This administration prides itself to be a transformative one. We hope that at least the transformation would be seen in the implementation of the budget.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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