Opinion
How Overwhelming Can It Be?
Sometimes one wonders if some government officials in Nigeria live in the same world with other citizens or their own world is different.
This is because they are often disconnected from the realities and hardly see things from the same perspective as others. Even when every other reasonable person is seeing black, this set of people will claim that the colour is white and will do everything possible to defend their position. At all tiers of government one can see these political office holders and government officials defending the indefensible all in the name of protecting their bosses or their jobs or what?
Last Sunday, former President, Olusegun Obasanjo while reacting to the recent Kaduna train attack said that President Mohammadu Buhari’s administration had been overwhelmed by the security situation in the country and called for more concerted efforts towards tackling the situation.
A few hours after that, the Minister for Information, Alhaji Lai Mohammed, who like “the Presidency” must react to any criticism of the current government, no matter how constructive, took a swipe at Obasanjo, saying that the security situation in the country is far from being overwhelming. As usual, he reeled out all his perceived achievements of the administration, particularly in the area of security – how the government wants to install surveillance and monitoring systems on the Abuja-Kaduna, Lagos-Ibadan and Warri-Itakpe rail tracks and stuffs like that.
I searched the dictionary for the meaning of overwhelming and it says, “very great in amount, profuse, enormous, immense…” Is the minister telling us that the daily killings in the country which has resulted in the loss of many Nigerians is not yet enormous? We hear stories, watch video clips of Southern Kaduna people being massacred every day, the same thing in Niger State; villages are being sacked by terrorists; people can no longer freely travel by plane, train or bus for fear of being kidnapped or killed by the terrorists; Mondays have remained a ghost day in the South East because hoodlums want it so and someone says the security situation is not overwhelming? Pray, how overwhelming can it be?
On Tuesday, no fewer than 11 soldiers, some vigilante men and some civilians were reportedly killed by suspected terrorists in a military base at Birnin-Gwari Local Government Area of Kaduna State. The ragtag terrorists were said to have stormed the facility in several motor bikes, engaged the soldiers in a gun battle for more than two hours before eventually subduing them (soldiers), razing the troops Armored Personnel Carrier and carting away weapons.
Many people have lost their fathers, brothers, husbands and uncles in the military to the endless, senseless battle against terrorism. Just last year a friend of mine was made a widow at a very young age because her husband, a colonel in the army was killed by Boko Haram terrorists while fighting in Maiduguri, Borno State. How many people have remained refugees in this country for many years? How many citizens are dying of hunger today either because their farm lands have been seized by herders and terrorists or they are afraid of going to their farms for fear of being killed, kidnapped, maimed or raped? What about the hundreds of school children that have been kidnapped, some fortunately regained their freedom after huge ransom were paid by their families and others like Leah Sharibu still in captivity till date? And someone is in the comfort of his office or home being maintained by the people’s money, claiming that the situation is not overwhelming?
Was he not the same person that boasted during a media briefing a day preceding Monday, March 28 Kaduna train attack that, “ we are proud that in our time Nigerians are once again able to travel by trains in total comfort and safety.” That was how the same minister a few days ago blamed the main opposition party, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), who handed over power to the current All Progressives Congress-led government over seven years ago for the nation’s present economic woes.
I mean, when will all these denials and blame games stop? How will Lai Mohammed be made to know that Nigerians are tired of reading the achievements of the current administration on the pages of the newspapers or hearing them from the government’s mouth pieces without the citizens having a feel of it? How can someone make him realise some Nigerians found loopholes in the former President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration and that paved a way for the APC, who claimed to have a magic wand for all Nigeria’s problems?
What the citizens expect from the ruling party is to make the country better instead of making it worse. The country is more of a hell for many citizens right now.
What the leaders at both local, state and federal levels need to do now is to urgently find lasting solutions to our numerous problems and quit playing politics with people’s lives.
All along, some people have posited that the authorities in the country are not bereft of ideas on how to put an end to the lingering security challenges. That, I believe. The Nigerian army is adjudged one of the best in Africa given their exploits in many foreign missions in West Africa and other parts of the continent. Again, going by the way the leader of Independent People of Biafra (IPOB), Nnamdi Kanu was arrested in faraway Kenya, and the stories behind the arrest and detention of the Yoruba activist, Sunday Igboho in Cotonou, Benin Republic, it is obvious that the Nigerian security agencies are not lacking in tactics and effective intelligence gathering. Will they not then know how to deal with the real people that have been terrorising the country for several years, should those in power sincerely deem it fit.
During a television interview a few days ago, a member of Northern Elders Forum, Prof. Usman Yusuf, aptly captured the attitude of some of our leaders to the security problems in the country. Reacting to the question on the threat by the Governor of Kaduna State, Nasir El-Rufai, that he and the governors of the North West may resort to hiring mercenaries from outside the country to come and fight the terrorists in their zone if the Nigerian soldiers fail to do the work, he called it political grandstanding. According to him El-Rufai knows that he has no power to carry out his threat, that he has had security issues in his state but he never does anything about it. And that all he does is talk and talk without taking any action. There under his watch, some ethnic groups have been constantly lamenting about the move by the governor’s ethnic group to wipe them out of the surface of the earth, yet no concrete action is seen to be taken to salvage the situation.
As it is with El-Rufai so it is with our leaders on different levels, particularly the federal government. How many times have the citizens been told that Boko Haram has been defeated, only for us to hear of more deadly acts carried out by the same group? Can we count the number of times our leaders would talk tough after an attack by herders, bandits, gangs, kidnappers or whatever they choose to call them, claiming that the criminals will be decisively dealt with and nothing happens in the end? One analyst said the government is in love with the terrorists in the north and is romancing with them and that is what it seems to be.
By: Calista Ezeaku
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Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
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