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Nigeria’s Power Generation Stagnates At 4,500MW

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Nigeria’s electricity generation has stagnated around an average of 4,500 megawatts. This is in spite of the country securing loans totalling over $3.23bn in about four years from international financial institutions.
Such global institutions include the World Bank, the African Development Bank, and the Japan International Cooperation Agency.
All of these institutions have supported Nigeria’s power sector with billions of dollars in loans, but many parts of Nigeria still suffer incessant blackouts.
These funds were approved to finance various projects to address the country’s electricity challenges and improve access to reliable power supply.
Power generation in the country has, however, persistently hovered around 4,500MW for a population of over 200 million people.
The daily power report obtained by The Tide’s source on Thursday, for instance, showed that peak generation reached 4,743MW as of 6 am on Thursday.
However, the average power generation in the past three years has remained at 4,500MW despite efforts by the government.
Since 2020, the World Bank has approved multiple loans to Nigeria’s power sector, focusing on sustainable energy solutions, distribution system upgrades, and overall sector reform.
The Sustainable Power and Irrigation for Nigeria Project, with a principal amount of $500m, was signed in September 2024 to enhance energy reliability and agricultural productivity.
In December 2023, the World Bank signed agreements for the Nigeria Distributed Access through Renewable Energy Scale-up Project, totalling $750m across three International Development Association credits.
This project is expected to expand renewable energy access and distributed electricity solutions.
In June 2023, the World Bank approved $1.5bn for the Power Sector Recovery Performance-Based Operation, which includes $301m already effective, $449m currently disbursing, and $750m from 2020, of which $715m has been disbursed.
This programme was designed to improve financial sustainability and operational efficiency within the power sector.
Also, the Nigeria Distribution Sector Recovery Programme, with $500m approved in February 2021, aims to support the capital and technical needs of electricity distribution companies.
On July 31, 2024, the African Development Bank Group approved a loan of $500m to the Federal Republic of Nigeria to help transform the country’s electricity infrastructure and improve access to cleaner energy sources.
According to a statement from the AfDB, this funding will finance the first phase of the Economic Governance and Energy Transition Support Programme, aimed at transforming the country’s electricity infrastructure and improving access to cleaner energy sources.
The statement also noted that the loan will help close the financing gap in the Federal Budget for the 2024/25 fiscal year, specifically supporting the implementation of Nigeria’s new Electricity Act and the Nigeria Energy Transition Plan.
These initiatives are designed to decentralise the electricity supply industry and attract investments from subnational governments and the private sector.
In September 2022, the Federal Government said it would partner with the Japan International Cooperation Agency to implement a $200m electricity transmission expansion programme in Lagos and Ogun states.
The former Minister of Power, Abubakar Aliyu, had said the aim of the programme was to expand the transmission network in the identified states so as to effectively support industries in the South-West.
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PETROAN Accuses Crude Oil Producers Of Diverting 500,000bpd Refineries-Bound Product 

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The Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) has alleged that oil producers were diverting 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil intended for local refineries.
The claim was made public on Wednesday amid ongoing discussions about the challenges facing Nigeria’s refining sector.
The association’s publicity secretary, Joseph Obele, who made this known, emphasised that the diversion of the crude allocations has led to the abandonment of many refineries, which were struggling to operate due to insufficient feedstock.
Obele accused oil producers of prioritising quick foreign exchange gains over compliance with domestic supply obligations.
The PETROAN spokesman commended the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) for recently banning the export of crude oil allocated for domestic refining, a move they believed will enhance local refining capabilities and reduce the nation’s reliance on imported petroleum products.
He said, “Approximately 500,000 barrels of crude oil per day are allocated for domestic refining, but these volumes often find their way to the international market”.
The situation has prompted calls for immediate action against both producers and companies that fail to adhere to the new regulations.
The issue has sparked a heated debate among industry stakeholders. While oil producers argue that local refineries often do not meet commercial terms, refiners counter that producers are neglecting their supply commitments in favour of international markets.
This ongoing blame game complicates efforts to stabilize local crude supply and improve refinery operations.
PETROAN’s national president, Billy Gillis-Harry, urged swift enforcement of the export ban to ensure that local refineries receive their fair share of crude oil.
He expressed optimism that this policy could lead to a more self-sufficient refining sector in Nigeria, ultimately benefiting consumers through reduced prices and improved product availability.

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FG Targets Reduction In External Borrowing 

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The Federal Government has said it is committed to reducing reliance on external debt financing and promoting private sector-driven economic growth as part of its strategy for long-term fiscal stability.
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the economy, Wale Edun, who made this known during a meeting with World Bank executive director, Dr. Zainab Shamsuna Ahmed, emphasised Nigeria’s shift towards alternative financing sources and investment-friendly policies.
He acknowledged the World Bank’s role in Nigeria’s development but stressed that the government is prioritizing a business-friendly environment to encourage private-sector investments.
“Our focus is on reducing dependency on external borrowing while ensuring that Nigeria’s economic policies foster long-term, private-sector-led growth”, he stated.
In his response, Dr. Ahmed, who previously served as Nigeria’s Minister of Finance, commended the country’s ongoing macroeconomic reforms, which she said have boosted fiscal stability and investor confidence.
Ahmed also noted the World Bank’s recent financial reforms, which have increased its lending capacity, making an additional $150 billion available over the next decade.
A key highlight of the meeting was Nigeria’s role in “Mission 300”, the World Bank’s initiative to provide electricity access to 300 million Africans.
Edun reaffirmed that power infrastructure remains a top priority for the government, as it is critical to economic growth, industrial expansion, and private-sector competitiveness.
“Electricity access is a game-changer for Nigeria’s economy, and we are committed to playing a leading role in Mission 300 to ensure sustainable development”, he said.
He further emphasised that President Bola Tinubu remains dedicated to strengthening Nigeria’s economic foundation, shifting away from external borrowing, and fostering a resilient, investment-driven economy.

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Dangote Refinery Exports Jet Fuel To Saudi Aramco

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Dangote Petroleum Refinery had exported two jet fuel cargoes to Saudi Aramco, the world’s largest oil producer and a leading integrated oil and gas company globally.
Saudi Aramco is a majorly state-owned petroleum and is the national oil company of Saudi Arabia.
President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, disclosed this during a visit by a team of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) to both Dangote Fertiliser Limited and the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals in Ibeju Lekki, Lagos.
He said exporting products to the global markets, especially Saudi Aramco, was because of his refinery’s world-class standards and advanced technology.
“We are reaching the ambitious goals we set for ourselves, and I’m pleased to announce that we’ve just sold two cargoes of jet fuel to Saudi Aramco”, he said.
According to him, since it began in 2024, the refinery has steadily increased its output, reaching 550,000 barrels per day.
While commending Aliko Dangote for establishing the $20 billion refinery – the largest single-train refinery in the world – NESG Chairman, Mr. Niyi Yusuf, stated that Nigeria needs more investments of this calibre to reach its $1 trillion economic goal.
“To achieve a $1 trillion economy, much of that must come from domestic investments. I joked during the bus ride that while others are dredging to create islands for leisure, you’ve dredged 65 million cubic tonnes of sand to create a future for the country.
“This refinery, fertiliser plant, petrochemical complex, and supporting infrastructure are monumental.
“My hope is that God will grant you the strength, courage, and health to realise your ambitions and that in your lifetime, a new Nigeria will emerge”.
Yusuf emphasised that such local industries are essential to Nigeria’s industrialisation and will help foster the growth of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs).
He said NESG would continue to advocate for improved investment climate to attract entrepreneurs, boost development, ensure food security, and address insecurity.
He lamented that Nigeria has become a dumping ground for foreign products, stressing that the country must support its entrepreneurs to become a global player.
“It’s inconceivable that a nation of over 230 million people, with an annual birth rate higher than the total population of some countries, is still dependent on imports to feed its citizens”, he stated.
Yusuf also praised Dangote’s bold vision for making Nigeria self-sufficient in several key sectors.
“The NESG is grateful, and I believe the nation is as well. This refinery represents the audacity of courage. It takes immense effort to do what you’ve done and still be standing and smiling.

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