Business
IMF May Cut Growth Forecasts
The International Monetary Fund said last Thursday it would likely cut its growth forecasts for the United States and the global economy if the United States’ spending cuts took effect on Friday.
It also warned that the US’s biggest trading partners would be hardest hit, Reuters reported.
IMF spokesman William Murray said that if the cuts were fully implemented, the IMF would likely shave at least 0.5 percentage points off its current forecast of two per cent growth for the US in 2013.
“We will see what happens on Friday, but everybody is assuming that sequestration is going to take effect,” Murray said at a regular news briefing. “What it means is that we are going to have to reevaluate our growth forecasts for the United States and other forecasts.”
The IMF’s warning about the impact of the spending cuts on the US and the rest of the world comes as Europe continues to struggle with the effects of a debt crisis and as growth has slowed in emerging economies like China, India and Brazil.
President Barack Obama and Republican congressional leaders have yet to reach a deal to avert $85bn worth of spending cuts.
The revised IMF forecasts will be reflected in the Fund’s World Economic Outlook due out in mid-April. The IMF’s last batch of forecasts in January put global growth at 3.5 per cent this year, increasing to 4.1 per cent next year.
The Fund has long urged the United States, the world’s biggest economy and a key trading partner of other economic giants, to reach a deal to avoid sharp spending cuts that could destabilise a fragile global economic recovery and possibly disrupt financial markets.
“Certainly 2013 will be affected,” Murray said, “We have to see how far this sequestration is implemented, I don’t think that is clear to anybody because it isn’t an immediate implementation of all spending cuts and we have to see how that political process plays out.”