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As Jonathan Demystifies Power Sector

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When nine months ago President Goodluck Jonathan assumed office and assigned to himself the position of Minister of Power, not many Nigerians were excited. Their skeptism hinged on the obvious reason that in the past, both General Sani Abacha and Chief Olusegun Obasanjo took similar steps during their respective regimes by appropriating to themselves the position of Petroleum Minister, yet no concrete results were achieved in the petroleum sector.

Pundits were of the view that Jonathan’s appropriating the Minister of Power Portfolio to himself would not revive the ailing power sector as they regarded the step as mere government rhetorics.

The power sector was already characterized by very low generation capacity, poor distribution network and a fragile limited transmission network. The multinational oil companies responsible for gas supply to the nation’s power station in joint venture with the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) were unable to supply gas as the militancy that ravaged oil activities in the oil-rich Niger Delta region led to blowing up of strategic oil and gas pipelines. The situation resulted in the power plants either being shut down while few functional ones were producing far below capacity. The resultant effect was that most Nigerians groped in darkness and scores of companies whose operations were frustrated as a result of high cost of alternative power supply left the country for other West African countries.

Added to the situation was the fact that efforts by Chief Olusegun Obasanjo and Alhaji Musa Yar’Adua to revive the ailing power sector suffered failure inspite of huge funds invested. The much touted 6,000 megawatts targeted by Yar’Adua in 2010 also failed. The question that was in the lips of must Nigerians then was what magic approach would President Jonathan adopt to revive the dying power sector?

However, not deterred by the challenge, Jonathan took some proactive and far-reaching measures to give a breathe of life to the nation’s powerless power sector. He sort for and appointed high brow professionals with enviable record to confront the challenges in the sector. He appointed Prof Bart Nnaji as his Special Adviser on Power and also created some committees on power.

To address the gas supply challenge, the Presidency summoned the management of the multinational oil companies and NNPC and they reached an accord on the strategies to supply adequate gas needed to energise the power stations.

After casting a wide look at the sector, according to Prof. Nnaji, Federal Government came to the realization that Nigeria’s   electricity infrastructure needs are enormous such that government alone cannot meet these needs, hence the urgency to involve the private sector.

In his paper, “The Role of the Private Sector and Structured Financing in Solving Nigeria’s Power Supply Problems”, delivered at an International Power Roundtable organized by the Rivers State House of Assembly Committee on Power last year, the Special Adviser to the President on Power said only about 40% Nigerians have access to electricity supply and that to meet the electricity demand of the nation’ by 2020, distribution network has to grow at the rate of at least 6% each year against the current average growth rate per annum estimated below 1%.

On the large funding required, Prof Nnaji said about $50 billion was required over the next ten years. “Government capital outlays for all capital budget is $5 billion annually meaning that annual funding requirement has outstripped the capacity of government funding”, he regretted.

The Federal Government has no option than to let go its monopoly on electric supply and opened its door widely  for both local and foreign private investors. The government has offered prospective investors in the power sector a five-year tax holiday to serve as an incentive to woo them.

To achieve same goal, Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) has commenced road shows in Lagos to enlighten investors on opportunities in the sector. BPE said apart from the five-year tax holiday, another incentive for investors in the sector is the World Bank’s instruments to insure their investment against political risks in the country and assured investors of a cost-reflective tariff system.

Aside the Lagos event, meetings are scheduled to be held with investors in Dubai, United Arab Emirates’ on January 24; London, United Kingdom on January 27; New York, United States on February 1 and Johannesburg, South Africa, on February 11. This came ahead of a February 18 deadline for the expression of interest in the eleven distribution companies, four thermal generating firms and two hydro power stations in Nigeria.

The eleven distribution companies which investors are expected to express their interest in include Port Harcourt Distribution Company Plc, Abuja Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Benin Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Enugu Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Eko Electricity Distribution Company Plc and Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company Plc.

Others are Ikeja Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Jos Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company Plc, Kano Electricity Distribution Company Plc and Yola Electricity Distribution Company Plc.

The four thermal generating stations which investors are expected to show interest are Afam Power Plc, Sapele Power Plc, Ughelli Power Plc and Geregu Power Plc while the two hydro power stations are Kainji Power Plc, including Jebba Power station and Shiroro Power Plc which government intends to give out to private investors under a concession arrangement.

According to Minister of State for Power, Mr Nuhu Wya, the forum in Lagos was organized to showcase numerous opportunities available in Nigeria’s Power sector.

Inspite of the fact that most government efforts are at early stages, the administration of Goodluck Jonathan has already recorded some humble achievements. The meeting between Federal Government and oil multinationals over gas supply has yielded fruits as Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation said it has already surpassed its gas supply obligation to power stations across the country, in line with Federal Government’s aspiration.

The group managing director, Engr Austen Oniwon disclosed this  to newsmen in Abuja and added that NNPC has also taken proactive measures to ensure sufficient gas supply to the new ones under construction upon completion.

At present power generation in the country has risen to 3,800 megawatts. Analysts view this as very impressive considering the fact that generation was below 2,700 mega watts when President Jonathan assumed office. Minister of States for Power, Mr Nuhu Way promised that by the end of this quarter, generation will get to 4,000 megawatts.

It is obvious that when the action plans come to full swing, the nation will hopefully actualize its dream of stable power supply which has eluded it for decades.

Nigerians have attested to the fact that power supply has improved in all parts of the country compared.

However, the agitation by staff of Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) over their 135% salary areas, casual status of alleged 10,000 workers and other welfare issues need to be addressed considering the fact that they are stakeholders in the reform agenda. Unfortunately, the electricity workers have dragged the government to Abuja High Court over the issue.

Sabotage by electricity workers who connive with criminals to remove power facilities may affect the new effort of the government. Similarly the issue of estimated metering adopted by PHCN workers do not guarantee transparency. Experts are of the view that credit card system be adopted as is the case in Telecommunication sub sector.

Another area that also needs to be addressed is the award of rural electrification projects to portfolio carrying politicians who either abandon such projects or execute them at substandard level.

There is need for the Federal Government to fast track investigations on allegations of fraud which runs into billion over past power projects.

Be it as it may, Goodluck Jonathan has shown that the power challenges which affect socio-economic lives in Nigeria can be tackled as his efforts has renewed hope of Nigerians.

 

Chris Oluoh

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NSCDC’s Anti-Vandal Squad Uncovers Artisanal Refinery In Rivers Community

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The Anti-Vandal Squad of the Nigeria Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC), Rivers State Command, has uncovered yet another local refinery situated at Adobi-Akwa settlement in Etche Local Government Area of Rivers State.
The State Commandant, Basil Igwebueze, disclosed this while speaking to journalists shortly after the tour of the Illegal site.
Represented by the Head, Anti-Vandal Squad, CSC Peters Ibiso, Igwebueze said the squad made the discovery following a tipp off, expressing regret that no arrest was made as the  boys fled the site upon sighting the squad.
The cammandant’s representative took the newsmen across a tick forest of about 6-7 kilometers from the main town.
The team sighted where the pipeline vandals tapped into the Well Head of yet to be ascertained multinational company, connected their galvanised pipes to several cooking pots, heat up the crude to produce Automotive Gas Oil (AGO).
In his words, “Upon receiving a tip-off, the Anti-Vandal operatives swung into action to uncover this illegal oil bunkering site. They were in this forest for two days having cordoned the area, unfortunately, the perpetrators upon sighting our men took to their heels, but investigation is still ongoing to effect the arrests of such defiant elements”.
The Anti-Vandal Unit Head further narrated the operation techniques of the operators of local illegal refineries from the point of extraction of crude through vandalism of oil pipelines to cooking in various ovens where the content is subjected to high temperature and transmitted through pipes to reservoirs for storage and onward trans- loading to buyers.
While insisting that the command would not relent in the fight against illegal dealings in petroleum products, he urged the public to have more trust in the NSCDC by providing actionable intelligence that would enhance possible arrest of economic saboteurs in the State.
“Our commitment to continuously work in tandem with the prosecutorial mandate of the corps in order to rid the State of economic saboteurs remains unchanged. We value our informants and most especially the intelligence driven tip-off received from time to time.
“It is also our duty to ensure that our source of information are not disclosed so as to protect our informants. It is therefore our delight that the public will continue to have confidence and trust in us as we together protect the nation’s critical national assets and infrastructure from dare devil vandals”, he stated.

By: Lady Godknows Ogbulu

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Oil Fund Withdrawals Suggest Extended Price Rally

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The world’s largest crude oil exchange-traded fund has bled over $2 billion in less than a year. And it i
s not due to investors finding greener pastures elsewhere with other ETFs; it is the siren call of soaring prices that is prompting this mass exodus.
The WisdomTree Brent Crude Oil exchange-traded commodity had assets under management of some $2.5 billion last summer, according to Bloomberg. Now, the publication reports, this is down to $396 million, with withdrawals accelerating over the past few days.
In that, withdrawals seem to be following price trends. Brent earlier this month topped $90 per barrel and, after a short pause earlier this week, is back above that threshold again following the latest Israeli strike on the Gaza Strip amid reports about a possible ceasefire.
While it is true that prices are currently driven higher mainly by geopolitical events, fundamentals are also at play. A growing number of forecasters are updating their predictions for benchmarks this year on expectations of resilient demand and increasingly tighter supply. And investors are following the trend.
Even those who have not sold their ETF holdings in order to invest more directly in the rally are benefitting. That same WisdomTree Brent Crude Oil ETC generated returns of over 13 percent during the first quarter of the year as opposed to an average 8.8% gain in the S&P 500.
The WisdomTree exchange-traded commodity became the world’s largest oil fund at the beginning of last year. The fund saw inflows of over $1 billion, which poured in as the deflation in oil prices that had begun in late 2022 extended into the new year. Now, the trend has reversed and it has reversed strongly.
The WisdomTree Brent Crude Oil ETC is not the only fund seeing outflows. The U.S. Oil Fund, which used to be the world’s biggest oil fund before the WisdomTree inflows last year and is now the world’s biggest oil fund once again, also saw a flurry of investor exits as benchmarks climbed higher.
According to Bloomberg, the fund’s assets under management currently stand at $1.3 billion, down from some $5 billion during the pandemic.
In further evidence that oil makes money, the Middle East is about to become the only region in the world with three trillion-dollar sovereign wealth funds. The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority is worth $993 billion, Bloomberg reported in March, while the Saudi Public Investment Fund and the Kuwait Investment Authority are breathing down its neck.
Meanwhile, investment in transition-related stocks is on the decline, according to data reported by Reuters. The S&P Global Clean Energy Index is down by 10% since the start of the year. In comparison, the S&P 500 Energy Index, which comprises Big Oil names, has gained 16.3%.
The data shows that investors are growing wary of all the promises made by transition advocates as evidence mounts that these were not based on due diligence. Wind and solar stocks suffered a crash last year when this first became clear.
Now, we are witnessing a continued awakening among investors to the challenges and the realistic potential of transition technology and alternative energy sources.
“With conventional energy having its own bull run, I think the alternative funds will struggle for the foreseeable future, and we shall see what the election brings”,  the Managing Director of capital markets at Phoenix Capital Group Holdings told Reuters.
The comment summarizes the challenging situation for alternative energy investment and highlights the rebound of interest in oil and gas, much to the chagrin of decision-makers on both sides of the Atlantic.
In both Europe and the U.S., things can get even worse for the transition after the respective elections—in June for European Parliament and in November for U.S. President. It will certainly be an interesting year in energy.
Slav writes for oilprice.

By: Irina Slav

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CNG Initiative: FG Targets 25,000 Jobs, $2.5bn Investment 

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The Programme Director and Chief Executive, Presidential Compressed Natural Gas Initiatives, Michael Oluwagbemi, has announced the Federal Government’s plan to target over 25,000 jobs and $2.5 billion worth of investment by 2027.
Oluwagbemi made this known during the Presidential CNG stakeholders’ engagement workshop held at BOVAS Auto-Gas Filling Stations, Ajibode Bus-Stop, in Ibadan, Oyo State capital, at the weekend.
He stated that the initiative, which was part of palliative measures to ease the burden of the removal of fuel subsidy, would attract enormous investment and job creation as well as impact positively on the lives of Nigerians.
Meanwhile, he called on Nigerians to embrace the new initiatives by the Federal Government as part of palliatives to cushion the effect of the removal of fuel subsidy in the country.
“On October 1, 2023, when the President gave his speech, he announced that the Presidential CNG initiatives are going to be rolled out as part of palliatives on the removal of fuel subsidy.
“One of our major concerns is to make sure that the transition for the transportation sector is a cheaper, safer, and more reliable source of energy.
“In the coming weeks, we are going to be announcing the conversion incentives programme which will enable Nigerians currently using PMS and Diesel fuel vehicles to be able to convert their vehicles at designated places across the country at a discounted price based on certain pre-qualification under the palliative programme of the Federal Government”, he said.
On the value chain of the initiative, Oluwagbemi explained that the Federal Ministry of Finance is acquiring tricycles and buses that would be assembled and manufactured in Nigeria, with more than five automobile firms being activated.
“The value chain of the programme starts with every one of us. From the point of converting your vehicle, you have created the demand for natural gas.
“If your vehicle is converted by technicians and refuelled by autogas workshops across the country, then you are creating jobs for civil engineers and technicians. You’re creating jobs for the upstream in terms of upstream activities associated with oil and gas.
“And in line with the programme, the Federal Ministry of Finance is acquiring a number of tricycles and buses that will be assembled and manufactured in Nigeria. More than five of our automobile firms have been activated. So, you can see that in terms of job creation, the opportunities for Nigerians are enormous.
“The President has said we need to convert one million vehicles by 2027. We need 1,000 conversion shops and we need over 3,000 filing stations just like this. You can imagine the level of investment required for this.
“In order to sustain one million vehicle conversions by 2027, we need 25,000 technicians. So, the job creation potential is an opportunity for job creation in addition to our gross domestic product, $2.5 billion worth of investment to be mobilised in the next four years and of course more than $25 billion added to our GDP”, he said.
Oluwagbemi further called on Nigerians to embrace the new initiatives by the Federal Government as part of palliatives to cushion the effect of the removal of fuel subsidy in the country.
The representative of BOVAS Filling Station, a private investor in the Presidential CNG Initiatives, Temitope Samson, said, “We have worked with the regulators, we are also working with the Presidential Initiatives on CNG to make sure that standard safety is adhered to. We have also worked with the Standard Organisation of Nigeria to ensure that we have a standard accepted internationally.
“Our role is to ensure that there is availability of CNG across the nation, and to also ensure we have enough kits and tanks that are converted for people to use as many as possible, and to ensure safety and to train others so that anywhere they get to, they have very safe conversion”.
Recall that last year, President Bola Tinubu approved the Presidential Compressed Natural Gas initiative(PCNG-i)
This initiative aims to not only introduce more than 11,500 new CNG-enabled vehicles and provide 55,000 CNG conversion kits for existing vehicles that depend on Premium Motor Spirit but also promote local manufacturing, assembly, and job creation.

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