IMF Forecasts Negative 2022 Growth Prospect For Nigeria

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded Nigeria’s economic growth projection to 3.2percent in 2022.
The development is 0.2 percentage points lower than the 3.4percent projected in its July, 2022 report.
The Washington-based institution disclosed this, yesterday in its World Economic Outlook (WEO) for October 2022 titled, “Countering the Cost-of-Living Crisis”.
The report also downgraded the economic growth projection for sub-Saharan Africa from 3.8percent to 3.6percent in October, 2022, citing tighter financial and monetary conditions.
“In sub-Saharan Africa, the growth outlook is slightly weaker than predicted in July, with a decline from 4.7percent in 2021 to 3.6percent and 3.7per cent in 2022 and 2023, respectively — downward revisions of 0.2 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points, respectively,” the report said.
“This weaker outlook reflects lower trading partner growth, tighter financial and monetary conditions, and a negative shift in the commodity terms of trade.”
Unlike sub-Saharan Africa, the report projected that growth in the Middle East and Central Asia would increase to 5.0per cent in 2022.
According to IMF, the development reflects “a favourable outlook for the region’s oil exporters and an unexpectedly mild impact of the war in Ukraine on the Caucasus and Central Asia”.
“In 2023, growth in the region is set to moderate to 3.6per cent as oil prices decline and the headwinds from the global slowdown and the war in Ukraine take hold,” it added”.