Business
Global Markets-Europe Stocks Up On Portugal, ECB Ahead
European shares rose on Thursday on hopes that Portugal’s decision to seek financial aid could put a brake on the region’s debt crisis.
The euro fell ahead of an expected interest rate rise by European Central Bank.
Portugal’s caretaker government requested European Union aid on Wednesday night at the urging of leading bankers who wanted a bailout to help the economy and safeguard the country’s banking system.
The pan-European European FTSEurofirst 300 stock index was up a quarter of a per cent.
Further contagion in the debt crisis was not being ruled out, but other countries that have been struggling, notably Spain, are less likely to be drawn in.
“We all knew Portugal was going that way, Spain looks like it is in a better position,” said Will Hedden, sales trader at IG Index,
But he added: “It is a bit early to say everything stops with Portugal.”
World stocks as measured by MSCI were flat while emerging markets took a step from a sharp rally of the past few weeks to fall a quarter of a per cent.
Japan’s Nikkei closed up 0.07 per cent, mainly due to short-covering in energy and domestic-demand stocks.
Portugal’s bailout request, meanwhile, comes just as the ECB is ready to raise interest rates in the face of gathering inflationary pressure.
It was expected to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 per cent, the first rise since July 2008.
The euro slipped from an 11-month high against the yen and 14-month peak versus the dollar ahead of the well-flagged move due later in the day, partly on concerns that the ECB may not strongly signal a series of future hikes.
“The euro has rallied considerably on the ECB rate hike view but it may be the case of buy the rumour sell on the fact,” said Koji Fukaya, chief FX strategist at Credit Suisse, explaining the day’s moves.
“The euro zone debt crisis has not stopped the ECB from making hawkish comments,” Fukaya said.
“That means Portugal’s story is not going to stop a rate hike.”
The euro was at 1.4284 dollars and 121.80 yen.
German government bonds edged lower after the Portugal bailout move.
Yields on Portuguese 10-year bonds fell slightly.
Business
CBN Predicts 4.17% GDP Growth In 2025
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has announced that the 2025 economic indices indicate a positive outlook, with the nation’s GDP expected to accelerate to 4.17 per cent for faster economic growth.
Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, Deputy Governor, Economic Policy Directorate, CBN, revealed this on Tuesday during the 11th edition of the National Economic Outlook: Implications for Businesses in 2025.
The hybrid event, convened in Lagos, was organised by the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) Centre for Financial Studies in collaboration with B. Adedipe Associates Ltd.
Abdullahi said the nation’s 2025 economic projections remained optimistic with fiscal and monetary reforms already paying off, resulting in the GDP anticipated rise from 3.36 per cent recorded in 2024.
According to him, the growth is anchored on sustained implementation of government reforms, stable crude oil prices, and improvements in domestic oil production.
Abdullahi also stated that stability in the exchange rate would play a crucial role in maintaining the positive trajectory, with the inflation rate projected to decline due to the impact of economic reforms.
“Achieving the targeted inflation rate of 15 per cent in 2025 will require effective collaboration between monetary and fiscal authorities, alongside private sector participation for a stable economic environment,” he said.
The keynote speaker said that the apex bank would prioritise price stability and strengthen the financial sector to support SMEs and critical sectors for businesses to thrive.
Abdullahi noted that the nation’s evolving policy landscape presented both challenges and opportunities for businesses to thrive.
“The government is making deliberate strides to diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependence on the volatile oil sector.
“Through ongoing tax reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving collection efficiency, the government is working to establish a more sustainable fiscal environment.
“While these reforms may present challenges in the short term, they are essential for building a more resilient and diversified economy in the long run.
“As businesses, it is crucial to adapt to these changes, understanding that they will ultimately strengthen the economic foundation for future growth.
“As we move forward on this path of exploration and collaboration, we must remain focused on the vast opportunities before us.
“Nigeria’s abundant resources, coupled with the current administration’s commitment to economic reform, offer a fertile ground for innovation, investment, and sustainable growth,” Abdullahi said.
Similarly, Prof. Pius Olanrewaju, President/Chairman of the Council, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN), said 2024 presented both challenges and opportunities.
He noted that the GDP signalled gradual recovery amidst global and domestic pressures.
“As we move into 2025, we are presented with both the opportunity and responsibility to critically examine the economic landscape.
“This forum will help us identify the risks, harness the opportunities, and strategize for the future,” Olarenwaju noted.
He commended the collaboration of experts at the annual event, which included Dr Kabir Katata, Director, Research, Policy and International Relations, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation; and Dr Henrietta Onwuegbuzie of the Lagos Business School.
Others were Akinsola Akeredolu-Ale, CEO, Lagos Commodities and Fixtures Exchange; Mr Akeem Lawal, Managing Director Interswitch (Pure pay); and Chinwe Uzoho, Regional Managing Director, West and Central Africa Network International.
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